Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002611) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 93% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 86%.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or “P/E”) ratio of 17.9x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 32x and even P/E’s higher than 60x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we’d need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology certainly has been doing a great job lately as it’s been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn’t eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology’s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that’s only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 84% gain to the company’s bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 56% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market’s one-year forecast for expansion of 39% shows it’s an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it’s understandable that Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology’s P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There’s potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn’t improve its profitability.
What We Can Learn From Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology’s P/E?
Despite Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology’s shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. It’s argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We’ve established that Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won’t provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we’ve spotted 2 warning signs for Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology (of which 1 can’t be ignored!) you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.
Find out whether Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
