finance

Oil edges up as geopolitical tensions offset weaker IEA demand outlook



© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A view shows oil tanks of Transneft oil pipeline operator at the crude oil terminal Kozmino on the shore of Nakhodka Bay near the port city of Nakhodka, Russia August 12, 2022. REUTERS/Tatiana Meel/File Photo

By Nicole Jao

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Oil prices rose slightly on Friday as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East offset a forecast by the International Energy Agency that warned of slowing demand.

futures rose 46 cents to $83.32 a barrel by 1:52 p.m. (1852 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained 88 cents, or 1.1%, to $78.91 with the nearby March contract expiring on Tuesday. The April contract rose 55 cents to $78.14.

For the week, Brent is set to gain about 1% and the U.S. benchmark is on track to rise more than 2%.

The growing risk of a wider conflict in the Middle East supported prices during the session.

On Thursday, Hezbollah said it fired dozens of rockets at a northern Israeli town in a “preliminary response” to the killing of 10 civilians in southern Lebanon, the deadliest day for Lebanese civilians in four months of cross-border hostilities.

News from the Middle East supported crude oil prices, but the reaction was overall moderate, said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS.

“The market sees oil still flowing and disruptions have been small,” he said.

Gaza’s largest functioning hospital was under siege on Friday in Israel’s war with Islamist group Hamas, as warplanes struck Rafah, the last refuge for Palestinians in the enclave, officials said.

U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in January amid strong gains in the costs of services, which could amplify worries that inflation is picking up again.

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However, a larger-than-expected drop in U.S. retail sales prompted hopes the Fed will soon start cutting rates, which could be positive for oil demand.

“Hopes for U.S. rate cuts provided support on Thursday, but investors are now adjusting their positions ahead of a long (holiday) weekend in the U.S.,” said Hiroyuki Kikukawa, president of NS Trading, a unit of Nissan Securities.

Meanwhile, the IEA said on Thursday that global oil demand growth was losing momentum and trimmed its 2024 growth forecast, weighing on prices.

The agency expects global oil demand growth to decelerate to 1.22 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, about half of the growth seen last year, in part due to a sharp slowdown in Chinese consumption. It had previously forecast 2024 demand growth of 1.24 million bpd.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), meanwhile, expects oil use to keep rising for the next two decades.

U.S. energy firms this week cut the number of oil and rigs in operation for the second time in three weeks, energy services firm Baker Hughes said in its closely followed report on Friday.



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